Hi guys, here we go again!
It’s my weekly article (Gameweek dataset) before each gameweek of Fantasy Premier League. It’s the most important one, it’s a base for most of my further conclusions & selections.
How to read this google sheet?
As always right after gameweek I provide you updated dataset with basic data which I hope will be useful for upcoming weeks in Fantasy Premier League. Here’s the key how to cope with it:
FIXTURES – it’s a summary (aggregated sum) of upcoming fixtures difficulty for each team for next 3 gameweeks and for next 5 gameweeks. The difficulty of an opponent is calculated based on: PL table rank, previous 4 gameweeks (form), home or away games, team value and also my own FPL index for each team.
xG [expected goal] – it’s a summary (aggregated sum) of expected goals that will be scored by a team in upcoming 3 or 5 games. The number is calculated based on: xG of a team, xGA of next opponents, home or away game. There are always two values: 1st based on FROM (previous 4 games) and 2nd based on season TOTAL
xGA [expected goals against] – it’s a summary (aggregated sum) of expected goals against the team – that will be scored by opponents in upcoming 3 or 5 games. The number is calculated based on: xGA of a team, xG of all opponents, home or away game. There are always two values: 1st based on FROM (previous 4 games) and 2nd based on season TOTAL
Upcoming fixtures difficulty (next 5 gameweeks):
Eye catchers (best upcoming fixtures):
Los miserables (worst upcoming fixtures):
Below you will find a rank of teams from best to worst in each category (fixtures, xG, xGA):
This spreadsheet presents the same data as the previous one, but shows the specific numbers behind each rank position:
And below you will find predicted results for each game in upcoming gameweek. Remember it’s only a prediction based on historical data. Some events like an early red card can destroy the whole sense of analytics (like it was at St. Marys when Southampton lost 9-0 with Leicester in 2019/20).
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Good luck everyone!